Monday, May 29, 2006

Rothenberg Predicts Greater Democratic Gains

The prediction of House gains for the Democrats has increased from 7-10 seats to 8-12 seats. Fifteen are needed to retake the House.

Obviously this is bad news for the Republicans, but even now, the smart money is still against a Democratic takeover.

Yet another tribute to how effective gerrymandering is at eliminating competitive races. Here we have the most volatile election in years, with voters' views of the incumbents as bad as they have ever been, and they're still predicting a partisan shift of about 3%.

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