Cantwell Moves up the List

RedState reports that the latest polling from Washington State moves Maria Cantwell up the list of endangered Democratic Senators. And it may be counter-intuitive, but a closely-contested race in Washington is the sort of thing that makes it tougher for people like Harold Ford to win. A proliferation of close races tends to soak up the money that might otherwise go to longer-shots - like Harold Ford.

And while we're on the topic of Senate races this year, I have to believe that Robert Byrd is going to wind up in a closer race than is now expected. People vote more and more based on cultural cues and social identification, rather than income. In a conservative state like West Virginia - which has clearly become a more level playing field for Republicans - a Republican Senate candidate ought to do well. Further, if the Alan Mollohan earmark scandal continues to grow, it can only hurt Byrd - the king of the earmark.

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