Can you imagine how Fred would be doing if he hadn't had what everyone considers to have been a truly terrible month or two?
The latest ARG poll has Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson tied nationally (change since August in parentheses):Giuliani: 24% (-3)
Thompson: 23% (+7)
McCain: 14% (+1)
Romney: 9% (-7)
While Fred Thompson cuts into Rudy Giuliani (and reduces him to co-frontrunner status), I maintain he poses the biggest immediate threat to Mitt Romney — social conservatives no longer have to sign up with a "convert" from Massachusetts; they can now go with a more traditional southern conservative. Look at that 7-point drop; it could be a funny sample, or it could be something much more serious. Let's see how Mitt holds up in Iowa.