Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Barone: Good News & Bad News

Michael Barone is always worth a read. Today he covers apparent shifts in some key races. The quick-and-dirty: improved situation for Democrats in Connecticut, and for the Republicans in Texas and Florida.

He makes a key point with regard to the race in Tom DeLay's old seat:

I am told that Texas has a rather liberal law governing the counting of write-ins that allows for different spellings, initials, etc., to be counted for a registered write-in candidate. The poll showed that 35 percent would vote for Sekula-Gibbs as a write-in and 36 percent for Democrat Nick Lampson, who used to represent Texas's Ninth and was defeated in 2004 as a result of the redistricting plan DeLay pushed through the Texas Legislature in 2003. When people were asked preferences without a mention of the write-in, the result was Sekula-Gibbs over Lampson 52 to 35 percent. It is interesting that the poll also had a DeLay-Lampson pairing, with DeLay ahead by 48 to 40 percent–an underwhelming score in a district that voted 64 percent for George W. Bush in 2004.

Read the whole thing.

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