Thursday, November 02, 2006

Moving Into the Last Days

As the campaign closes, if you're one of those obsessive lunatics who needs to know everything that's going on, make sure you're reading Geraghty and the Corner over at NRO.

More generally, I'm seeing as much good news as bad news. As I noted earlier, Conrad Burns seems about even money for re-election. Michael Steele has good reason to be optimistic. On the other hand, Anne Northup is reportedly trailing, and so is JD Hayworth. There is definitely reason to doubt the accuracy of the Hayworth poll; it has 16% of self-identified conservatives voting against Hayworth. That defies belief.

And I would be remiss if I did not tell you that Stu Rothenberg, who is usually the last to jump on the Democratic bandwagon, now predicts a Democratic takeover of the Senate, and a Democratic gain of 34-40 seats in the House. Does Stu lack appropriate faith in Rove, or is he on the money?

Expect all sorts of crazy polls in these last few days. We're reaching the point where you're better off turning off the computer and enjoying some football, or the changing of the leaves. Turn the news back on around 7:00 pm Eastern time Tuesday.

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